Friday, November 1, 2024

Why the Founding Fathers Were Right About the Electoral College

Dec. 16, 1940: New York State electors, part of the Electoral College, cast votes at the state capital in Albany.

Dec. 16, 1940: New York State electors, part of the Electoral College, cast votes at the state capital in Albany. "All are unidentified," according to The Associated Press.

On Tuesday, December 17, 2024, electors from each of the states will meet in their respective States to cast their votes for President and Vice President of the United States.

We can expect after the count of ballots this November that there will be repeated calls to abolish the Electoral College especially if one party wins the popular vote but loses the presidency.

Let's look back at the 2016 Presidential Election when these calls were the loudest.The  popular vote in the chart below shows Mrs. Clinton with a 2.8 million plus vote lead over President-elect Mr. Trump. Because of Mrs Clinton's dramatic popular vote lead, the mainstream media, Democrats, progressives and political pundits from academia were all calling for getting rid of the Electoral College. In their mind Mrs. Clinton's popular vote victory proves who the country and its citizens really selected to be President of these U.S. except for this antiquated Constitutional system we call the the Electoral College.

Presidential
Candidate

Political
Party

Popular Vote*
Electoral Vote
Donald J. Trump
Republican
62,913,088
46.1%
306
56.9%
Hillary Clinton
Democratic
65,756,948
48.2%
232
43.1%
Others
Others
7,731,591
5.7%
0
0.0%
Total                                          136,401,627
           538

But before we get on a bandwagon to repeal or replace the Electoral College, let’s take a closer look at the 2016  presidential election results.


State
Clinton
Trump
Popular Vote Margin
U.S. Total
65,756,948 (48.2%)
62,913,088(46.1%)
Clinton  +2,843,860
California
8,719,198
4,463,932
Clinton  +4,255,266
New York
4,227,211
2,690,285
Clinton  +1,536,926
Illinois
3,090,729
2,146,015
Clinton  +   944,714
U.S. Totals minus California, New York
 & Illinois
49,719, 810 (45.3%)
53,612,856 (49.0%)
 Trump    +3,893,046


The three blue states in the chart above  gave Hillary Clinton her biggest margin in her popular vote victory: California with a popular vote margin of 4.255 million votes, New York with a margin of victory of 1.537 million votes and Illinois with a margin of victory of ~ 945,000 votes. Altogether, those three states provided Hillary Clinton with a margin of victory of 6.7 million votes. However, if we remove those three very populous states, the U.S. totals of the other 47 states and the District of Columbia give President-elect Trump, a margin of victory of 3.893 million votes.

Looking even closer below at the largest cities in those three states, Los Angeles County, Chicago Cook County and New York City, those cities together delivered a margin of victory for Mrs. Clinton of 3.871 million votes. And once again if we remove those three cities from the U.S. totals, President Trump wins the popular vote by 1.027 million votes.

City
Clinton
Trump
Popular Vote Margin
U.S. Total
65,756,948 (48.2%)
62,913,088(46.1%)
Clinton  +2,843,860
Los Angeles County
1,893,770
620,285
Clinton + 1,273,485
Chicago (Cook) County
1,528,582
440,213
Clinton + 1,088,369
New York City
1,969,920
461,174
Clinton + 1,508,746
City Total
5,392,272
1,521,672
Clinton  +3,870,600 
U.S..Totals minus  Los Angeles, New York City & Chicago
60,364,676
61,391,416
Trump   + 1,026,740

Some may look at this and conclude that the strength of Mrs. Clinton and the Democratic party is in key states which have concentrated blocs of liberal and progressive voters in large cities which will always contribute significantly to the popular vote for a Democrat candidate. But as the Electoral College results show in this election, the votes from these three key states and cities should never override the wishes and votes from the other 47 individual states both large and small in our Union. Switching to the popular vote only in future Presidential elections  will guarantee that these three cities and states may most likely determine a long line of future liberal and progressive Presidents.What do you think? As for me and my house, long live our Electoral College.

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